发现 databases finance investment 相关 Skills，比较来源仓库和用途，查看适合你工作流的技能说明。
Use when exploring alternative scenarios, testing assumptions through "what if" questions, understanding causal relationships, conducting pre-mortem analysis, stress testing decisions, or when user mentions cou...
Use when managing project uncertainty through structured risk tracking, identifying and assessing risks with probability×impact scoring (risk matrix), assigning risk owners and mitigation plans, tracking contin...
Use when making high-stakes decisions under uncertainty that require stakeholder buy-in. Invoke when evaluating strategic options (build vs buy, market entry, resource allocation), quantifying tradeoffs with un...
Use when facing decisions with multiple legitimate perspectives and inherent tensions. Invoke when stakeholders have competing priorities (growth vs. sustainability, speed vs. quality, innovation vs. risk), nee...
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or
Use to detect and remove cognitive biases from reasoning. Invoke when prediction feels emotional, stuck at 50/50, or when you want to validate forecasting process. Use when user mentions scout mindset, soldier...
Use when developing business strategy (market entry, product launch, geographic expansion, M&A, turnaround), conducting competitive analysis (profiling competitors, assessing competitive threats, Porter's 5 For...
Use when need systematic innovation through comprehensive solution space exploration, resolving technical contradictions (speed vs precision, strength vs weight, cost vs quality), generating novel product confi...
Use when designing or reviewing systems handling sensitive data (PII, PHI, financial, auth credentials), building features with security implications (auth, payments, file uploads, APIs), preparing for security...
Use when you need to choose the right visualization for your data and question, then create a narrated report that highlights insights and recommends actions. Invoke when analyzing data for patterns (trends, co...
Use when comparing multiple named alternatives across several criteria, need transparent trade-off analysis, making group decisions requiring alignment, choosing between vendors/tools/strategies, stakeholders n...
Use when decisions could affect groups differently and need to anticipate harms/benefits, assess fairness and safety concerns, identify vulnerable populations, propose risk mitigations, define monitoring metric...
Use when planning with fixed deadline or target outcome, working backward from future goal to present, defining milestones and dependencies, mapping critical path, identifying what must happen when, planning pr...
Use when defining stopping rules for projects, avoiding sunk cost fallacy, setting objective exit criteria, deciding whether to continue/pivot/kill initiatives, or when users mention kill criteria, exit ramps,...
Use when making decisions under uncertainty with quantifiable outcomes, comparing risky options (investments, product bets, strategic choices), prioritizing projects by expected return, assessing whether to tak...
Use when starting a forecast to establish a statistical baseline (base rate) before analyzing specifics. Invoke when need to anchor predictions in historical reality, avoid "this time is different" bias, or est...
Use when planning high-stakes initiatives (migrations, launches, strategic changes) that require clear specifications, proactive risk identification (premortem/register), and measurable success criteria. Invoke...
Use when writing or reviewing career documents including research statements, teaching statements, diversity statements, CVs, or biosketches. Invoke when user mentions research statement, teaching philosophy, d...
Use when scanning external trends for strategic planning, monitoring PESTLE forces (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental), detecting weak signals (early indicators of change), planni...
Use when setting product North Star metrics, decomposing high-level business metrics into actionable sub-metrics and leading indicators, mapping strategy to measurable outcomes, identifying which metrics to mov...
Use when making predictions or judgments under uncertainty and need to explicitly update beliefs with new evidence. Invoke when forecasting outcomes, evaluating probabilities, testing hypotheses, calibrating co...
Use when evaluating business model viability, analyzing profitability per customer/product/transaction, validating startup metrics (CAC, LTV, payback period), making pricing decisions, assessing scalability, co...
Use when need explicit quality criteria and scoring scales to evaluate work consistently, compare alternatives objectively, set acceptance thresholds, reduce subjective bias, or when user mentions rubric, scori...
Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier sco...
默认按已收录数据中的 GitHub 仓库 Stars 排序。Stars 属于来源仓库，同一仓库的多个技能可能共享相同数值；它反映仓库关注度，不代表单个技能的安装量或质量评分。