market-mechanics-betting

Features and purpose

Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action.

Quick start

Follow the repository instructions for this skill and your agent. Review the files and dependencies before adding it to your workflow.