forecast-premortem

Features and purpose

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

Quick start

Follow the repository instructions for this skill and your agent. Review the files and dependencies before adding it to your workflow.