nixtla-event-impact-modeler
Analyze causal impact of events on time series forecasts using TimeGPT. Use when quantifying promotion or disaster effects. Trigger with 'event impact analysis' or 'causal analysis'.
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Analyze causal impact of events on time series forecasts using TimeGPT. Use when quantifying promotion or disaster effects. Trigger with 'event impact analysis' or 'causal analysis'.
Transforms forecasting experiments into production-ready inference pipelines with Airflow, Prefect, or cron orchestration. Generates ETL tasks, monitoring, error handling, and deployment configs. Activates when...
Fine-tunes TimeGPT on custom datasets to improve forecasting accuracy. Use when TimeGPT's zero-shot performance is insufficient or domain-specific accuracy is needed. Trigger with "finetune TimeGPT", "train Tim...
Detects anomalies in time series data using TimeGPT. Identifies outliers, level shifts, and trend breaks without model training. Use when identifying anomalies, outliers, or unusual patterns in time series. Tri...
Generate production-ready Jupyter notebooks showcasing Nixtla forecasting workflows for statsforecast, mlforecast, and TimeGPT. Use when creating demos, building examples, or showcasing forecasting capabilities...
Performs rigorous time series cross-validation using expanding and sliding windows. Use when needing to evaluate the performance of time series models on unseen data. Trigger with cross validate time series, ev...
Automatically selects the best forecasting model between StatsForecast and TimeGPT based on time series data characteristics. Use when unsure which model performs best. Trigger with 'auto-select model', 'choose...
Detects anomalies in time series data using TimeGPT. Identifies outliers, level shifts, and trend breaks without model training. Use when identifying anomalies, outliers, or unusual patterns in time series. Tri...
Quantifies the impact of exogenous events on contract prices using TimeGPT and CausalImpact. Triggers on "event impact analysis", "model event effects", "quantify event impact", or "causal analysis".
Assists users in migrating their codebase and data pipelines from TimeGPT-1 to TimeGPT-2. Use when upgrading to the latest version of TimeGPT, ensuring compatibility, and optimizing performance. Trigger with "m...
Analyze Nixtla baseline forecasting results (sMAPE/MASE on M4 or other benchmark datasets). Use when the user asks about baseline performance, model comparisons, or metric interpretation for Nixtla time-series...
Validate forecast quality by comparing MASE and sMAPE against benchmarks. Use when detecting model degradation. Trigger with 'validate forecast' or 'check forecast quality'.
Performs rigorous time series cross-validation using expanding and sliding windows. Use when needing to evaluate the performance of time series models on unseen data. Trigger with "cross validate time series",...
Enables TimeGPT model fine-tuning on custom datasets with Nixtla SDK. Guides dataset preparation, job submission, status monitoring, model comparison, and accuracy benchmarking. Activates when user needs TimeGP...
Generate comprehensive markdown benchmark reports from forecast accuracy metrics with model comparisons, statistical analysis, and regression detection. Use when analyzing baseline performance, comparing foreca...
Generate time series forecasts using TimeGPT, StatsForecast, and MLForecast. Use when forecasting, demand planning, or model comparison is needed. Trigger with 'forecast time series' or 'run Nixtla forecast'.
Validates time series forecast quality metrics by comparing current performance against historical benchmarks. Detects degradation in MASE and sMAPE metrics. Activates when user mentions "validate forecast", "c...
Research and summarize Nixtla ecosystem updates and time-series forecasting content from the web and GitHub. Use when gathering release notes, recent changes, or best-practice references. Trigger with "Nixtla u...
Configure TimeGPT fine-tuning on custom datasets with Nixtla SDK. Use when training domain-specific forecast models. Trigger with 'fine-tune TimeGPT' or 'train custom model'.
Expert guidance for Stan probabilistic programming language development, including modern syntax, cmdstanr/cmdstanpy integration, and testing patterns
Control model behavior through persistent edits and steering interventions. Use when modifying model outputs, applying steering vectors, or creating persistently modified model versions.
Causal intervention via activation patching to identify important model components. Use when determining which layers, heads, or positions are causally responsible for model behavior.
Core nnsight concepts for neural network interpretability. Use when setting up models, tracing activations, saving values, or making basic interventions on model internals.
Decode intermediate layer predictions using the Logit Lens technique. Use when analyzing what a model predicts at each layer, understanding information flow, or visualizing layer-wise processing.
The default order uses GitHub repository stars from our indexed data. Stars belong to the source repository and may be shared by multiple skills. They indicate repository interest, not skill installs or an independent quality score.