reference-class-forecasting

Fonctions et usage

Use when starting a forecast to establish a statistical baseline (base rate) before analyzing specifics. Invoke when need to anchor predictions in historical reality, avoid "this time is different" bias, or establish outside view before inside view analysis. Use when user mentions base rates, reference classes, outside view, or starting a new prediction.

Démarrage rapide

Suivez les instructions du dépôt pour votre agent. Consultez les fichiers et dépendances avant l’installation.